Total probability of a win from home and away results, and the conditional probability that a match not won was played at home

Total probability of a win from home and away results, and the conditional probability that a match not won was played at home

8 marks

Over a season, \(65\%\) of a football team's matches are played at its home ground and the rest are played away. The team wins \(83\%\) of the matches it plays at home and \(26\%\) of the matches it plays away. One match from the season is chosen at random.

  1. Find the probability that the team won this match.[4]
  2. Given that the team did not win this match, find the probability that it was played at home.[4]

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Answer:(a) \(0.63\) (b) \(0.30\)

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