Sampling Distributions and the Central Limit Theorem

Sampling Distributions and the Central Limit Theorem

Junior College 2

Normal population: exact results

Let \(X_1,\ldots,X_n\) be independent observations from \(N(\mu,\sigma^2)\). Linear combinations of independent normal variables are normal.

Exact sampling distributions

\[T_n\sim N(n\mu,n\sigma^2),\qquad \overline X\sim N\left(\mu,\frac{\sigma^2}{n}\right)\]

Non-normal population: Central Limit Theorem

If \(X_1,\ldots,X_n\) are independent identically distributed observations with finite mean \(\mu\) and finite variance \(\sigma^2\), then as \(n\) becomes large, the standardised total and mean approach a standard normal distribution.

CLT approximations

\[T_n\mathrel{\dot\sim}N(n\mu,n\sigma^2),\qquad \overline X\mathrel{\dot\sim}N\left(\mu,\frac{\sigma^2}{n}\right)\]

  • The approximation usually improves as \(n\) increases.
  • \(n>30\) is a rough classroom guideline, not a universal threshold; strong skewness or heavy tails may require a larger sample.
  • Sampling from a non-normal population does not make each observation normal. It is the distribution of the total or mean that becomes approximately normal.
  • If the population is already normal, the displayed sampling distributions are exact for every positive integer \(n\).
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