Recovering an unknown model probability

Recovering an unknown model probability

Secondary 3
4 marks
TGM Original Questions

A parcel service sends a proportion \(p\) of its parcels by route A and the rest by route B. A parcel sent by A arrives on time with probability \(0.90\); a parcel sent by B arrives on time with probability \(0.98\). Overall, the probability that a randomly selected parcel arrives on time is \(0.95\).

Find \(p\), showing how both routes contribute to the overall probability.[4]

Solution:

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Answer:\(p=\dfrac38\)

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