N1973 P2 Q11 [Modified]

N1973 P2 Q11 [Modified]

10 marks
Past Year National Exams
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A test consists of five multiple choice questions to each of which three answers are given, only one of which is correct. For each correct answer a candidate gets \(2\) marks, but loses \(1\) mark for each incorrect answer. A particular candidate answers all question purely by guesswork. Draw up a table to show all the possible total marks from \(-5\) to \(10\) and the probability associated with each mark for this candidate. Use the table to show that the expected mark is zero, and find the variance of this distribution.

  1. In a game, a player throws an ordinary unbiased die. If it is not six, he scores the number on the upper face of the die; if he throws a six, he has a second throw and his score is then the total obtained from his two throw. (i.e. The player has at most two throws.)
    Find the probability distribution function of his score.[2]
    Calculate
    1. The expected value and standard deviation of the player’s score,[2]
    2. The expected value of the number of throws.[2]
  2. The player pays \(\$2\) to play a game. If he scores an even number, he will receive \(\$3.50\), else he gets back \(\$1\).
    1. Determine if this is a fair game.[2]
    2. Find the probability that the player’s score is an even number in \(20\) out of total of \(50\) games played.[2]

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Answer:(a)(i) \(E(X) = \frac{49}{12}\), \(\text{Var}\hspace{0.1em}(X) = \frac{385}{48}\) (a)(ii) \(E(T) = \frac{7}{6}\) (b)(i) Expected profit \(\frac{1}{24}\), not fair (b)(ii) \(0.111\)

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