Mean mass of normally distributed loaves from the percentage below a mass, then a one-tailed test after a change of recipe

Mean mass of normally distributed loaves from the percentage below a mass, then a one-tailed test after a change of recipe

10 marks

A bakery makes loaves of bread whose masses are normally distributed with standard deviation \(15\) grams. Records show that \(20\%\) of the loaves have a mass of less than \(400\) grams.

  1. Show that the mean mass of the loaves is \(412.6\) grams, correct to \(1\) decimal place.[3]

The bakery changes its recipe with the aim of making heavier loaves. The standard deviation is unchanged. A random sample of \(36\) loaves made with the new recipe has a mean mass of \(416.4\) grams. The null hypothesis is \(\mathrm{H}_0\): the mean mass of the loaves is unchanged by the new recipe.

  1. State the alternative hypothesis, \(\mathrm{H}_1\).[1]
  2. State, with a reason, whether a one-tailed or a two-tailed test should be used.[2]
  3. Determine whether the new recipe has significantly increased the mean mass, at the \(5\%\) significance level.[4]

Solution:

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Answer:(a) \(\mu=412.6\) grams (shown) (b) \(\mathrm{H}_1:\mu>412.6\) (c) one-tailed, since only an increase is being tested for (d) \(z=1.52\), \(p=0.0643>0.05\): not significant, so do not reject \(\mathrm{H}_0\)

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