Use set probabilities, conditional probability and independence in two restaurant models.

Use set probabilities, conditional probability and independence in two restaurant models.

16 marks
ProbabilityQuestionBank.pdf

Two restaurants, Center and New, sell fish rolls and salads. Let \(F\) be the event a customer chooses a fish roll. Let \(S\) be the event a customer chooses a salad. Let \(N\) be the event a customer chooses neither a fish roll nor a salad. In the Center restaurant \(P(F) = 0.31\), \(P(S) = 0.62\), \(P(N) = 0.14\).

  1. Show that \(P(F ∩ S) = 0.07\).

    [3]
  2. Given that a customer chooses a salad, find the probability the customer also chooses a fish roll.[3]
  3. Are \(F\) and \(S\) independent events? Justify your answer. At New restaurant, \(P(N) = 0.14\). Twice as many customers choose a salad as choose a fish roll. Choosing a fish roll is independent of choosing a salad.

    [3]
  4. Find the probability that a fish roll is chosen.[7]

Solution:

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Answer:At New, let \(P(F)=x\), so \(P(S)=2x\). Independence gives \((1-x)(1-2x)=0.14\). The admissible root is \(x=0.386\).

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