Hypotheses, Tails and Significance

Hypotheses, Tails and Significance

Junior College 2

A hypothesis test uses sample data to assess whether there is sufficient evidence against a statement about a population parameter.

Null and alternative hypotheses

Alternative hypothesisTestEvidence sought
\(H_1:\mu<\mu_0\)Left-tailedUnusually small sample means
\(H_1:\mu>\mu_0\)Right-tailedUnusually large sample means
\(H_1:\mu\ne\mu_0\)Two-tailedSample means far from \(\mu_0\) in either direction
Null hypothesis

For a test of an unknown population mean, the point null is \(H_0:\mu=\mu_0\). Tail direction is determined by \(H_1\).

Decision language

  • If the observation is sufficiently unlikely under \(H_0\), reject \(H_0\).
  • Otherwise, do not reject \(H_0\). This is not proof that \(H_0\) is true.
  • State the conclusion in the context of the population claim.
Significance and Type-I error

The significance level \(\alpha\) is the designed probability, or upper bound, of rejecting \(H_0\) when \(H_0\) is true. For a simple null with an exact continuous test, the rejection region is normally chosen to have probability \(\alpha\).

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