N2007 P2 Q11

N2007 P2 Q11

Junior College 2
11 marks

Research is being carried out into how the concentration of a drug in the bloodstream varies with time, measured from when the drug is given. Observations at successive times give the data shown in the following table.

Time (t minutes)\(15\)\(30\)\(60\)\(90\)\(120\)\(150\)\(180\)\(240\)\(300\)
Concentration (x micrograms per litre)\(82\)\(65\)\(43\)\(37\)\(22\)\(19\)\(12\)\(6\)\(2\)

It is given that the value of the product moment correlation coefficient for this data is −0.912, correct to 3 decimal places. The scatter diagram for the data is shown below.

Calculate the equation of the regression line of \(x\) on \(t\).[2]

Calculate the corresponding estimated value of \(x\) when \(t=300\), and comment on the suitability of the linear model.[2]

The variable \(y\) is defined by \(y=\ln x\). For the variables \(y\) and \(t\),

  1. calculate the product moment correlation coefficient and comment on its value,[2]
  2. calculate the equation of the appropriate regression line.[3]

Use a regression line to give the best estimate that you can of the time when the drug concentration is 15 micrograms per litre.[2]

Solution:

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Answer:\(x=66.1940-0.259701t\); prediction \(-11.7\), unsuitable. \(r\approx-0.994\); \(\ln x=4.62061-0.0123434t\); time \(155\) minutes.

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