Choice of Regression Lines

Choice of Regression Lines

We need to choose the correct regression line because each line is designed to minimise a different type of prediction error. When we use \(x\) to estimate \(y\), the regression line of \(y\) on \(x\) is chosen because it makes the errors in the predicted \(y\)-values as small as possible.

On the other hand, when we use \(y\) to estimate \(x\), the regression line of \(x\) on \(y\) is used because it minimises the errors in the predicted \(x\)-values. Therefore, the choice of regression line depends on which variable we are trying to predict. Using the wrong line may not give the smallest possible errors for the variable of interest.

ScenarioGiven \(x\) to estimate \(y\)Given \(y\) to estimate \(x\)
\(y\) depends on \(x\)Use the \(y\) on \(x\) line equation.
\(x\) depends on \(y\)Use the \(x\) on \(y\) line equation.
No observable dependenceUse the \(y\) on \(x\) line equation.Use the \(x\) on \(y\) line equation.

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Answer:If \(y\) depends on \(x\), use the regression of \(y\) on \(x\). If \(x\) depends on \(y\), use the regression of \(x\) on \(y\). With no observable dependence, use \(y\) on \(x\) to estimate \(y\) from \(x\), and use \(x\) on \(y\) to estimate \(x\) from \(y\).

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