Checking Linear Fit and Transformed Variables

Checking Linear Fit and Transformed Variables

Junior College 2
TGM Original Questions

Before using a regression model, inspect the scatter diagram and identify the variables in the fitted equation. A large correlation coefficient supports linear association between those variables; it does not establish that every proposed model is suitable.

Fitted relationWhat to examine
\(y=a+bx\)Scatter and correlation of \(x\) with \(y\).
\(\ln y=a+bx\)Scatter and correlation of \(x\) with \(\ln y\), with \(y>0\).
\(y=a+\dfrac{b}{x}\)Scatter and correlation of \(\dfrac{1}{x}\) with \(y\), with \(x\ne0\).

Bridge the idea

The original x–y scatter is curved. A transformed scatter of x against ln y is nearly linear, with stronger linear association. This supports fitting ln y on x when that model is contextually reasonable. The original x–y correlation alone does not assess the transformed fit.

If \(\ln y=a+bx\), recover \(y=e^{a+bx}\) after prediction. Respect the domain and original units. When comparing models, explain the relevant scatter pattern and correlation rather than saying only “the larger r is better”; compare closeness to \(+1\) or \(-1\) through \(|r|\).

Exam wording: “The transformed scatter is approximately linear and the correlation between x and ln y is close to 1 in magnitude, supporting this fitted model.” Curvature or an influential outlier still deserves attention; fit is evidence to assess, not a guarantee.

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