Binomial Metrics and Problem-Solving Strategies

Binomial Metrics and Problem-Solving Strategies

Junior College 2

Let \(X\sim B(n,p)\).

MetricValueMeaning
Expectation\(\mu=E(X)=np\)Central value of the distribution.
Variance\(\sigma^2=\operatorname{Var}(X)=np(1-p)\)Squared measure of spread.
Standard deviation\(\sigma=\operatorname{SD}(X)=\sqrt{np(1-p)}\)Measure of spread in the units of (X).
ModeThe \(x\) for which \(P(X=x)\) is greatest.Most probable value of (X).

Source strategy for finding the mode

  1. Find the expectation \(\mu=E(X)=np\).
  2. If \(\mu\) is an integer, compare the probabilities at \(\mu-1,\mu,\mu+1\).
  3. If \(\mu\) is not an integer, compare the probabilities at the two nearest integers \(\lfloor\mu\rfloor\) and \(\lceil\mu\rceil\).
  4. The candidate with the greatest probability is the mode.

Illustration

For \(X\sim B(6,0.6)\), \(\mu=6(0.6)=3.6\). Compare \(P(X=3)\) and \(P(X=4)\).

Calculator comparison

\[P(X=3)=0.27648,\qquad P(X=4)=0.31104\]

Therefore, the mode is \(4\).

Forward reference

The worked examples in this unit show an alternative method for finding the mode of a binomial distribution.

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