2026 EJC P2 Q11

2026 EJC P2 Q11

Junior College 2
15 marks

The masses of mangoes in kg have the distribution \(\mathrm N(0.3,0.1^2)\).

  1. Find the probability that two randomly selected mangoes weigh at least 0.5 kg in total.[2]

Mark sells fruit boxes, each of which contain 10 randomly selected blueberries and 2 randomly selected mangoes. Let the number of unblemished blueberries in a randomly selected fruit box be \(U\). On average, the probability of a blueberry being unblemished is \(p\).

  1. State a reason, in the context of the question, why \(U\) might not be well-modelled by a binomial distribution.[1]

Assume now that \(U\) has the distribution \(\mathrm B(10,p)\). The probability that a randomly selected fruit box contains at least 8 unblemished blueberries is 0.9.

  1. Find the value of \(p\).[2]

Each fruit box is classified as grade A, B or C according to the following criteria:

GradeCriteria
AFruit boxes that meet both the following criteria:
1. Mangoes weigh at least \(0.6\) kg in total
2. The fruit box contains at least \(9\) unblemished blueberries.
BFruit boxes that do not meet the criteria for grade A, but meet both the following criteria:
1. Mangoes weigh at least \(0.5\) kg in total
2. Contains at least \(8\) unblemished blueberries.
CAll fruit boxes that are not classified as grade A nor B
  1. Show that the probability that a randomly chosen fruit box is classified as grade C is 0.316, correct to 3 significant figures.[2]
  2. Hence find the probability that a randomly selected grade C fruit box contains at least 8 unblemished blueberries.[3]
  3. The selling prices of a grade A, grade B and grade C fruit box are \(\$12\), \(\$10\) and \(\$6\) respectively. Find the probability that the total selling price of 5 randomly selected fruit boxes is less than \(\$37\).[3]

Mark decides to amend the criteria for grade A boxes as follows:

  • Each mango in the box weighs at least 0.3 kg and the box contains at least 9 unblemished blueberries.
  1. State how the percentage of fruit boxes classified as grade A will change, and explain your answer.[2]

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Answer:(a) \(0.760\) (b) Blueberry blemish conditions may not be independent. (c) \(p=0.884\) (d) \(0.316\) (e) \(0.683\) (f) \(0.0372\) (g) Decreases; halved under independence, from \(33.7\%\) to \(16.9\%\).

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