2025 ASRJC P2 Q7

2025 ASRJC P2 Q7

8 marks

Anthony plays a game using a four-sided fair die with the numbers 1, 2, 3 and 4 printed on its sides. Anthony rolls the die and should the outcome be a prime number, he wins an amount equivalent to that number in dollars. Conversely, if the outcome is a non-prime number, Anthony will lose an amount equivalent to that number in dollars. The random variable \(X\) represents the amount of money Anthony wins in a roll of the die.

  1. Tabulate the probability distribution of \(X\) and find the value of \(E(X)\).[2]
  2. Find the value of the variance of \(X\).[1]
  3. The random variables \(X_1\) and \(X_2\) are two independent observations of \(X\). By drawing a table of outcomes for \(|X_1 + X_2|\) or otherwise, find \(E(|X_1 + X_2|)\).[2]

Assume now that a biased six-sided die with numbers 2, 3, 4, 5, 6 and 7 printed on its sides, is used instead for the same game. It is known that for this biased die, the probability of obtaining a "3" is \(p\), the probability of obtaining a "5" is \(2p\) and the remaining four numbers each have an equal probability of occurring.

  1. Find the exact value of \(p\) for the game to be fair using the biased die.[3]

Solution:

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Answer:(a) \(\mathrm P(X=-4)=\mathrm P(X=-1)=\mathrm P(X=2)=\mathrm P(X=3)=\frac{1}{4}\), \(\mathrm E(X)=0\). (b) \(\frac{15}{2}\). (c) \(\frac{13}{4}\). (d) \(p=\frac{1}{55}\).

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