2024 TJC H1 Q10

2024 TJC H1 Q10

9 marks

The girth of a tree is the circumference of the tree trunk measured \(1\) metre above the ground. A random sample of \(9\) oak trees in a forest was taken and the age, \(x\) years, and the girth, \(y\) cm, of each tree was recorded. The data collected is shown in the following table.

\(x\)\(20\)\(23\)\(30\)\(38\)\(39\)\(45\)\(48\)\(55\)\(71\)
\(y\)\(35\)\(41\)\(59\)\(70\)\(67\)\(87\)\(91\)\(109\)\(124\)
  1. Give a sketch of the scatter diagram for the data, as shown on your calculator.[2]
  2. Find the value of the product moment correlation coefficient and comment on its value in the context of the data.[2]
  3. Find the equation of the regression line of \(y\) on \(x\), in the form \(y = a + bx\), giving the values of \(a\) and \(b\) correct to \(3\) significant figures. Sketch this line on your scatter diagram.[2]
  4. Use the equation of your regression line to calculate an estimate of the girth of a \(50\)-year-old oak tree, and comment on the reliability of your estimate.[2]
  5. Rewrite your equation in (c) so that it can be used to estimate the girth when the age is measured in months.[1]

Solution:

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Answer:(a), (c) See scatter diagram and fitted line. (b) \(r\approx0.988\), strong positive linear correlation. (c) \(y=0.954+1.83x\). (d) \(92.3\) cm, reasonably reliable interpolation. (e) \(y\approx0.954+0.152u\), where \(u\) is age in months.

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