2024 CJC P2 Q7

2024 CJC P2 Q7

9 marks

Aran is a telemarketer working in a large city. Each day, he speaks to \(50\) potential customers and on average, he successfully makes a sale \(6\%\) of the time. The number of successful sales each day is denoted by the random variable \(T\).

  1. State, in context, two assumptions needed for \(T\) to be well modelled by a binomial distribution.[2]

Assume now that \(T\) has a binomial distribution.

  1. Find the probability that Aran makes at least \(5\) successful sales on a randomly chosen day.[2]
  2. Aran receives a bonus if he makes at least \(5\) successful sales a day. Find the probability that he receives a bonus on \(2\) days out of a randomly chosen \(5\)-day work week.[2]

Aran is part of a team of \(100\) similar telemarketers.

  1. Estimate the probability that on a randomly chosen day, the team makes more than \(3.5\) successful sales on average.[3]

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Answer:(a) constant sale probability and independent outcomes (b) \(0.179\) (c) \(0.178\) (d) \(0.00145\)

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