2023 SAJC P2 Q10

2023 SAJC P2 Q10

12 marks
Prelims

Tom records the maximum speeds of an athlete running in a temperature controlled environment. The table below shows the maximum speed, \(y\) metres per second, recorded for various specific temperatures, \(x\) degree Celsius.

\(x\)\(6\)\(11\)\(16\)\(21\)\(26\)
\(y\)\(2.96\)\(2.94\)\(2.85\)\(2.71\)\(2.52\)
  1. Tom decides to model the data using the line \(y=-0.02x+3.1\).
    1. On the grid opposite
      • draw a scatter diagram of the data, and
      • draw the line \(y=-0.02x+3.1\).[3]
    2. For a line of best fit \(y=\mathrm{f}\left( x \right)\), the residual for a point \(\left( a,b \right)\) plotted on the scatter diagram is the vertical distance between \(\left( a,\mathrm{f}\left( a \right) \right)\) and \(\left( a,b \right)\). Mark the residual for each point on your diagram.[1]
    3. Calculate the sum of the squares of the residuals for Tom’s line.[1]
    4. Explain why, in general, the sum of the squares of the residuals rather than the sum of the residuals is used.[1]
  2. State the value of the product moment correlation coefficient.[1]
  3. Use your calculator to find the equation of a suitable regression line to estimate the temperature for a given maximum speed. Hence estimate the temperature when the maximum speed is \(2.48\) metres/second. Explain whether you would expect this value to be reliable.[4]
  4. Explain whether the product moment correlation coefficient would differ if Tom converted the speed to kilometres per hour.[1]

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Answer:Answers: (i)(c) \({0.0134}\) (d) Residuals may be positive or negative. If we find the sum of residuals, it may not indicate how close the data lies to the line of best fit. Squaring the residuals prevent this occurrence by ensuring all values are positive, and the closer to \({0}\) the sum of squares is, the closer the data lies to the line of best fit. (ii) \({-0.958}\) (\({3}\) s.f.) (iii) Estimated temperature is \({30.2}\) degree Celsius. The value may not be reliable due to extrapolation as \({x = 30}\) is not within the range of data given. (iv) Changes in scale or units of measurement will not affect the value of the product moment correlation coefficient.

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