2021 VJC P2 Q10

2021 VJC P2 Q10

15 marks
Prelims

In this question you should state clearly all the distributions that you use, together with the values of the appropriate parameters.

A certain bakery bakes two types of cookies: butter cookies and chocolate cookies. The masses of butter cookies have the distribution \(N\left( 15,\ {{0.4}^{2}} \right)\) and the masses of chocolate cookies have the distribution \(N\left( 20,\ {{1.2}^{2}} \right)\). The units for mass are grams.

  1. Find the probability that the mass of a randomly chosen butter cookie is more than \(15.5\) grams.[1]
  2. \(10\) butter cookies are randomly chosen. Find the probability that at least \(4\) of them each has mass more than \(15.5\) grams.[3]

The cookies are sold by weight. Butter cookies cost \(\$6\) per \(100\) grams and chocolate cookies cost \(\$7.50\) per \(100\) grams.

  1. Miss Lee bought \(12\) butter cookies and \(12\) chocolate cookies for her family. Find the probability that she paid less than \(\$29\).[4]
  2. State an assumption needed for your calculations in part (iii).[1]

The waiting time, \(T\) minutes, before a customer is served at the bakery has a mean of \(16\) minutes and a standard deviation of \(9\) minutes.

  1. Give a reason why a normal distribution, with this mean and standard deviation, would not give a good approximation to the distribution of \(T\).[1]
  2. The waiting times of \(n\) randomly chosen customers at the bakery are taken, where \(n>30\). Given that the probability that the average waiting time of these \(n\) customers is between \(16\) minutes and \(18\) minutes is more than \(0.48\), estimate the least value of \(n\).[5]

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Answer:(i) \(0.106\); (ii) \(0.0155\); (iii) \(0.732\); (vi) \(n = 86\)

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