2016 VJC P2 Q7

2016 VJC P2 Q7

8 marks
Prelims

Box \(A\) contains \(10\) red, \(8\) blue and \(7\) green balls. Box \(B\) contains \(2\) white and \(3\) black balls. All the balls are indistinguishable except for their colours. Three balls are taken from Box \(A\) and two balls are taken from Box \(B\), at random and without replacement.

Mr Wong guesses that there are at least \(1\) red ball and exactly \(2\) black balls taken, while Mr Tan guesses that all the balls taken are of different colours.

  1. Show that the probability that Mr Wong is correct is \(0.241\), correct to \(3\) significant figures.[3]
  2. Find the probability that Mr Tan is correct.[2]
  3. Find the probability that Mr Wong is correct, given that Mr Tan is wrong.[3]

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Answer:(i) \(\frac{1107}{4600}=0.241\) (3 s.f.) (ii) \(\frac{84}{575}\) (iii) \(\frac{1107}{3928}=0.282\) (3 s.f.)

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