2016 NJC P2 Q10

2016 NJC P2 Q10

9 marks
Prelims
  1. Suppose a fair die is tossed twice. Calculate the probabilities that
    1. the sum of the scores of the two tosses is at least \(8\),[1]
    2. the absolute difference between the scores of the two tosses is at least \(4\).[1]

In one round of a game, a player is to draw a ball, without replacement, from a box that contains \(3\) red balls and \(4\) white balls. If a red ball is drawn, the player will add the scores obtained from tossing a fair die twice. If a white ball is drawn, the player will take the absolute difference of the scores obtained from tossing a die twice.

The game ends if the sum of the scores is at least 8 or the absolute difference of the scores is at least \(4\). Else, the player will proceed to the second round of the game where the process of picking a ball from the box and tossing the die twice repeats.

  1. Find the probability that the game ends at the first round.[2]
  2. Suppose the game ends at the first round. Find the probability that a red ball is drawn.[2]
  3. Find the probability that there are a total of \(3\) rounds of game played and exactly \(2\) white balls are selected.[3]

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Answer:(i)(a) \(\dfrac5{12}\) (i)(b) \(\dfrac16\) (ii) \(\dfrac{23}{84}\) (iii) \(\dfrac{15}{23}\) (iv) \(\dfrac{13}{168}\)

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