2016 DHS P2 Q6

2016 DHS P2 Q6

6 marks
Prelims

John plays for his school’s soccer team. There is a probability of \(0.15\) that he scores in a game and a probability of \(0.3\) that his parents are present at a game. When he scores in a game, there is a probability of \(0.2\) that his parents are present.

  1. Show that the probability that he scores in a game when his parents are present is \(0.1\).[2]
  2. State, with justification, whether his parents’ presence at a game will affect his chances of scoring in the game.[1]

Games are equally likely to be home or away games. In a home game, there is a probability of \(0.24\) that John does not score and his parents are present.

  1. Find the least and greatest values of the probability that a game is a home game and his parents are not present at the game.[3]

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Answer:(i) \(0.1\) (ii) Yes, since \(P(S\mid A)=0.1\neq0.15=P(S)\) (iii) Least \(0.35\), greatest \(0.38\)

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