2015 HCI P2 Q6

2015 HCI P2 Q6

7 marks
Prelims
  1. Let \(A\) and \(B\) be events such that \(\mathrm{P}\left( A'\cap B \right)=0.13\), \(\mathrm{P}\left( A'\cap B' \right)=0.38\) and \(\mathrm{P}\left( A|B \right)=0.675\).
    1. Find \(\mathrm{P}\left( A\cap B \right)\).[3]
    2. Determine whether \(A\) and \(B\) are independent.[1]
  2. Two players, \(C\) and \(D\), compete in a match. The probability that \(C\) wins the first set is \(p\). For each set after the first, the conditional probability that any player wins the set, given that the player won the preceding set, is \(p\). Each set is won either by player \(C\) or \(D\). If there is no limit to the number of sets played, and a match is won only when a player wins two consecutive sets, show that the probability that \(C\) wins the match is \(\frac{1-p+{{p}^{2}}}{2-p}\).[3]

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Answer:(a)(i) \(0.27\) (ii) \(A\) and \(B\) are not independent (b) \(\frac{1-p+p^2}{2-p}\)

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