2013 RI P2 Q9

2013 RI P2 Q9

9 marks
Prelims

The data below shows the average height, measured in feet, of cherry trees from age \(1\) year to age \(11\) years.

Age (\(x\))\(1\)\(2\)\(3\)\(4\)\(5\)\(6\)\(7\)\(8\)\(9\)\(10\)\(11\)
Average height (\(y\))\(6\)\(9.5\)\(13\)\(15\)\(16.5\)\(17.5\)\(18.5\)\(19\)\(19.5\)\(19.7\)\(19.8\)
  1. Calculate \(r\), the value of the product moment correlation coefficient between \(x\) and \(y\). State, with a reason, whether the value of \(r\) would be different if the average height is measured in meters instead.[2]
  2. Give a sketch of the scatter diagram for the data.[1]
  3. It is desired to predict the average height of cheery trees beyond age \(11\) years. Explain why neither a linear nor a quadratic model is likely to be appropriate.[2]

It is suggested that the average height \(y\) can be modelled by the formula \(y=a+b\ln x\).

  1. Find the equation of the regression line for the suggested model, and the product moment correlation coefficient between \(\ln x\) and \(y\). Estimate the average height of cherry trees age \(5.5\) years, and comment on the reliability of your answer.[4]

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Answer:(i) \(r=0.916\); unchanged when height is measured in metres (ii) Scatter diagram plotted (iii) Neither a linear nor a quadratic model suitably represents the levelling trend beyond age \(11\) (iv) \(y=6.10818\ln x+6.09934\), \(r=0.993\); at \(x=5.5\), \(y=16.5\) feet, a reliable interpolation

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