2013 JJC P2 Q2

2013 JJC P2 Q2

10 marks
Prelims

A researcher is investigating the spread of a certain disease in a town with a population of \(3000\) people. The researcher suggests that \(I\), the number of people infected by the disease at time \(t\) days satisfies the differential equation \(\frac{\mathrm{d}I}{\mathrm{d}t}=kI\left( 3000-I \right)\), where \(k\) is a positive constant.

  1. Given that \(I=30\) when \(t=0\), show that \(I=\frac{3000}{1+99{{e}^{-3000kt}}}\).[6]
  2. It is further observed that \(I=240\) when \(t=7\), find the time it takes for \(90\%\) of the population to be infected by the disease.[3]
  3. State, in the context of this question, one assumption needed to model the spread of the disease in the town by the given differential equation.[1]

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Answer:(i) Shown; (ii) 22.1 days; (iii) Population remains constant at 3000

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