2012 NJC P2 Q6

2012 NJC P2 Q6

Prelims

The table below gives the values of a set of bivariate data comprising ten observations of \(x\) and \(y\).

\(x\)\(0.5\)\(1.0\)\(1.5\)\(2.0\)\(2.5\)\(3.0\)\(3.5\)\(4.0\)\(4.5\)\(5.0\)
\(y\)\(13.1\)\(12.9\)\(12.5\)\(11.7\)\(10.9\)\(9.9\)\(8.9\)\(7.7\)\(6.0\)\(4.1\)
  1. Sketch the scatter diagram and determine the value of the product moment correlation coefficient between \(y\) and \(x\).
  2. Determine which of the following is the best model for this set of data, justifying your choice clearly.
    (A) \(y=ax+b\)    (B) \(y=c{{x}^{2}}+d\)   (C) \(y=e\sqrt{x}+f\)
  3. Find the equation of the least-squares regression line of your selected best model in part (ii). Use your equation to estimate the value of \(y\) when \(x = 3.8\). Comment on the reliability of the estimation.

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Answer:(i) \(r=-0.973\) (ii) Model B, \(y=cx^2+d\) (iii) \(y=-0.359x^2+13.2\), giving \(y=8.04\) when \(x=3.8\). The estimate is reliable because it is interpolation and \(|r(y,x^2)|\) is close to \(1\).

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